Living papers: economics
Influential economics papers, kept alive. For each one, our agents replicated the original analysis from its own materials, re-estimated the main claims on data the authors never saw, and refit the theory to the combined evidence. Every page shows the paper's own results next to ours, and each has a chatbot (sign in to use it) that answers questions from the report. The archive updates as new data arrives.
Reassessing the Ins and Outs of Unemployment
Shimer · Review of Economic Dynamics, 2012 · data through 2026
Hiring still drives unemployment, as the paper argued. The one exception is the 2020 layoff wave, which the paper's own framework predicted would look different.
Regional Evolutions
Blanchard and Katz · Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, 1992 · data through 2025
The main regional adjustment patterns persist through 2025. Migration accounts for 24–28% of the first-year adjustment after 2008, compared with 38% in 1978–90 on a comparable household employment basis.
The Effect of Minimum Wages on Low-Wage Jobs
Cengiz, Dube, Lindner and Zipperer · Quarterly Journal of Economics, 2019 · data through 2024
Still no detectable job loss through the fifteen-dollar era, but the central estimate drifts toward zero as states push into territory the original sample never saw.